Before understanding the chart patterns, indicators and the system we need to have a very basic understanding about how trading works. We are assuming that you have basic understanding of chart reading and knowledge about trading.
How the market moves?
When the market moves upside or downside we
call it a trend. The faster the movement, steeper the trend and more the
volatility. To book profits in trading you have to look for stocks which are
trending, be it uptrend or downtrend. Never trade on stocks with a side wise
trend.
What makes the stock move? That's the million dollar question. The stock only
moves when there is a supply demand imbalance. Supply demand
imbalance is the very primitive theory of economics, where either the supply is
much more than the demand or vice versa. For example, if there are buyers who
are willing to buy a stock on a particular day(s) with a buying to selling
ratio of 4:1 the stock price would move upwards with high volume. The same
would happen if the selling to buying ratio is 4:1. With huge volume the stock
price would go down.
So, we can see from the above example the imbalance have to be supported by two
things i. Price action and ii. Volume. These are the only two things that
matters in the stock market and nothing else. So, trading a stock with high
volume having an imbalance exhibiting the price action is key for success in trading.
Regarding volume, one thing must be kept in mind that this is imperative while
you are scalping. Since you are into a position for a few seconds or couple of
minutes, volume would help the price to move in your direction. Whereas, in a
positional or swing trading you might encounter periods with low volume, but
you have ensure that the market bias should be in your favour. Since these
trades may last for sessions, you might not have extreme volume throughout,
especially during short sell.
Who creates the imbalance?
Big institutions with
tons of money are the people in the market who make the stock move. These
institutions are also called the smart money as they are the
people with proper knowledge and information and make smart investments. These
are hedge funds, mutual funds, big personal investors, big financial
institutions etc. When the deal, they deal in numbers and thus the stocks move
in their trading direction with high volume.
So the one and only golden rule in trading is "TRADE WITH THE
SMART MONEY".
How to identify a
profitable trade?
A profitable trading
trade must have the following components inbuilt into it:
1. Trend: You should always trade when there is a trend, which may be
upward or downward. Trend is your friend. Never trade in
sideways or choppy market. Another very crucial factor that has to be kept in
mind is that, always setup a trade at the beginning of the trade or when the
trend is about to setup. Never chase a trend when the price has moved
substantially. You will burn your hands badly and get trapped.
2. Momentum: This measures the strength of the trend and
also helps you to diagnose at what stage of the trend you are, i.e. initial or
the exhaustion stage. So always we need to enter a trend with momentum at its
initial phase.
3. Volatility: This refers to the price change, i.e. how
quick the price changes. The more volatile the stock is, the quicker is the
price action and more risky it is, which can lead to heavier loss in no time.
Without volatility, there will be very little price movement which is of no use
to a trader. Hence, while entering a trade we should look for volatility of
moderate strength and not extremely volatile or non-volatile in nature.
4. Volume: Volume and market bias is required. Volume
would help the market to move and the market bias will keep the trend moving
during low volume phases. Remember, volume increasing and the market bias
reversing is a signal of reversal and can signal for exit.
Thus while setting up a trade, we need to look into the above mentioned
parameters and conditions to emerge as a profitable trader. The TradeWizard system
will help you to exactly identify the same and not only that will do the most
vital operation for you, which is Risk Management.
We will cover some other important aspects of trading in the next session which
should always be kept in mind while trading.
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